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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-09-17T03:05:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-09-17T03:05Z
CME Note: Clear increase in velocity, density and temperature at ACE, followed by a flux rope signature beginning at 20:24Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-09-21T03:39Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-09-21T07:00Z
Prediction Method: SPM
Prediction Method Note:

initial shock speed: 360 km/s
source location:     N09E20
solar wind speed:    400 km/s
duration time:       0.5 hr

Lead Time: 19.60 hour(s)
Difference: -3.35 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2019-09-20T08:03Z

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